Wednesday, April 30, 2014

My Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction

Are you looking forward to Amazing Spider-Man 2? If you said No, then it seems you may be in the majority (based on the surprising response to an email movie invite I saw yesterday.) While I'm not sure of the reason, people do not seem jazzed to see this latest installment of the Sony Spider-man franchise. Is all because the Rhino looks so bad?

Or is it because they fear there are too many villains in the movie?

Or is it because the response to the first installment in this rebooted franchise just wasn't as good as people initially thought? (Amazing Spider-Man only ended up with $252 domestic when it finished its US run.)

Personally, I'm willing to wait for this one on DVD. While I enjoyed Amazing Spider-Man, the amount of villains is definitely giving me Spider-Man 3 flashbacks. To this day, I pick Spider-Man 2 as my favorite Spider-Man movie because of its focus on Doctor Octopus.

My box office prediction for this movie is it will have a first weekend haul of somewhere in the neighborhood of 80-85 million. (The first one only made $52 million in the first weekend.)

- Jim


Trey said...

Well, you were about 10 million off for U.S. box office. I don't know what the foreign numbers were.

Jim Shelley said...

Yeah, I saw that. I usually consider a prediction successful if I'm within 10% (which I was not in this case.) I'm having a hard time with these recent superhero movies. (I didn't have a prediction for Cap 2, but there is no way I would have been close. I thought it would be successful, but not the megahit it's turned out to be.)

ASM2 did better than I expected but less than what Sony expected (they were hoping to break 100 million which sounded ambitious considering how the first film did.) Worldwide it made about 375 million. Hard to say where it will end up over all. It sort of has the theaters to itself for a while until Godzilla shows up on May 16th.

Also not sure what this says about the potential of a Sinister Six movie.


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